NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIT UGA
Points 67.7 80.8
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 27.4
Points From Free Throws 10.9 11.9
Shooting CIT UGA
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 58.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 10.9 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 16.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 71.6%
Ball Control CIT UGA
Rebounds 32.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.5
Turnovers 11.6 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.8
Steals 4.7 6.7
Fouls 14.1 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Citadel

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIT UGA
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 69.0
% of Possessions with CIT UGA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 31.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.0%
Turnover 16.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIT UGA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 23.8%