NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE BUT
Points 72.0 74.7
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 26.9
Points From Free Throws 8.6 12.9
Shooting YALE BUT
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 58.1
Field Goal % 45.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 8.6 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 16.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 80.1%
Ball Control YALE BUT
Rebounds 35.0 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.9
Turnovers 8.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.3
Steals 6.5 4.8
Fouls 13.6 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE BUT
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 67.5
% of Possessions with YALE BUT
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 17.4% 19.4%
Turnover 12.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE BUT
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.6%