NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST VAN
Points 66.0 75.1
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 19.5
Points From Free Throws 12.2 19.7
Shooting SCST VAN
Field Goals Made 23.3 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 53.4
Field Goal % 38.3% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 27.8
Free Throw % 70.0% 70.7%
Ball Control SCST VAN
Rebounds 36.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.6
Turnovers 12.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.8
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 19.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST VAN
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 70.7
% of Possessions with SCST VAN
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 27.1%
Player Fouled 18.3% 26.7%
Turnover 17.3% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST VAN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 31.3%