NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA VAN
Points 77.8 70.9
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 20.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.2
Shooting UGA VAN
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 62.7
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 28.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.7%
Ball Control UGA VAN
Rebounds 38.1 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.2
Turnovers 10.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 4.6 5.6
Fouls 13.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA VAN
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 73.3
% of Possessions with UGA VAN
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 29.1%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.3%
Turnover 13.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA VAN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 25.9%