NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GONZ BYU
Points 79.4 78.9
Total Points   158.3
Points From 2-Pointers 48.3 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 34.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.8
Shooting GONZ BYU
Field Goals Made 30.1 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 65.6
Field Goal % 49.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 14.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.5%
Ball Control GONZ BYU
Rebounds 35.8 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.9
Turnovers 8.2 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.3
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 12.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GONZ BYU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 74.9
% of Possessions with GONZ BYU
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 37.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 17.8%
Turnover 11.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GONZ BYU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.1%