NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE OKST
Points 72.1 69.5
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 24.9
Points From Free Throws 10.0 12.9
Shooting YALE OKST
Field Goals Made 27.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 54.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 10.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 18.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.2%
Ball Control YALE OKST
Rebounds 33.9 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.6
Turnovers 9.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.0
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 14.3 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE OKST
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 65.7
% of Possessions with YALE OKST
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 31.8%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.9%
Turnover 13.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE OKST
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 22.6%