NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA WAKE
Points 67.8 82.0
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 23.8
Points From Free Throws 14.7 17.2
Shooting UNCA WAKE
Field Goals Made 23.0 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.8
Field Goal % 41.5% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 14.7 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.7
Free Throw % 75.0% 79.2%
Ball Control UNCA WAKE
Rebounds 29.9 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.8
Turnovers 11.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.5
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 16.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Asheville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA WAKE
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.8
% of Possessions with UNCA WAKE
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 26.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 23.0%
Turnover 16.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA WAKE
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 27.6%