NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE SF
Points 66.0 71.0
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 25.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 9.9
Shooting YALE SF
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 57.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 13.8 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 13.3
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control YALE SF
Rebounds 32.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 7.9
Turnovers 10.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.0
Steals 5.0 6.5
Fouls 12.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE SF
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 66.1
% of Possessions with YALE SF
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 31.6%
Player Fouled 24.9% 19.0%
Turnover 15.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE SF
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 23.8%