NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FRES SF
Points 63.0 77.3
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 9.5
Shooting FRES SF
Field Goals Made 21.6 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 59.7
Field Goal % 42.8% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 12.7
Free Throw % 69.6% 74.2%
Ball Control FRES SF
Rebounds 28.0 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 9.8
Turnovers 12.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.9
Steals 5.0 6.9
Fouls 12.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FRES SF
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 61.1 68.3
% of Possessions with FRES SF
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 18.4%
Turnover 18.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FRES SF
Shot Blocked 8.2% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 30.6%