NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST BGSU
Points 68.6 73.8
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 21.1
Shooting SCST BGSU
Field Goals Made 24.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 52.0
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 12.5 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 29.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.7%
Ball Control SCST BGSU
Rebounds 34.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.3
Turnovers 11.8 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 7.0 6.2
Fouls 19.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST BGSU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 69.8
% of Possessions with SCST BGSU
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 22.8%
Player Fouled 19.6% 26.7%
Turnover 16.4% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST BGSU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 31.2%