NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE DAY
Points 72.0 75.6
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 27.1
Points From Free Throws 10.1 14.3
Shooting DRKE DAY
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 53.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 10.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 19.2
Free Throw % 74.8% 74.7%
Ball Control DRKE DAY
Rebounds 31.3 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 6.4
Turnovers 8.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.8
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 15.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE DAY
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 65.4
% of Possessions with DRKE DAY
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.8%
Turnover 11.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE DAY
Shot Blocked 5.2% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 21.0%