NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST WKU
Points 69.2 79.6
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 19.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.3
Shooting SCST WKU
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.9
Field Goal % 38.9% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 26.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.7%
Ball Control SCST WKU
Rebounds 34.8 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 14.0 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.4
Steals 7.5 7.7
Fouls 19.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST WKU
Total Possessions 76.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 71.1
% of Possessions with SCST WKU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 22.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 25.4%
Turnover 18.4% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST WKU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 29.3%