NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST DSU
Points 69.1 67.3
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 11.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 20.2
Shooting SCST DSU
Field Goals Made 23.4 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 49.8
Field Goal % 40.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 4.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 12.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 15.0 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 28.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.3%
Ball Control SCST DSU
Rebounds 37.0 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 10.5
Turnovers 15.0 15.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.6
Steals 7.8 7.9
Fouls 18.9 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST DSU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 67.6
% of Possessions with SCST DSU
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 14.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 26.0%
Turnover 20.6% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST DSU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 39.5% 32.1%