NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU MIA
Points 61.4 80.5
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 29.8
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.7
Shooting AAMU MIA
Field Goals Made 22.2 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 59.7
Field Goal % 38.0% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.9
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.6%
Ball Control AAMU MIA
Rebounds 34.4 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.7
Turnovers 14.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.5
Steals 7.0 9.2
Fouls 16.8 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Miami

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU MIA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 73.5
% of Possessions with AAMU MIA
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 22.9%
Turnover 19.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 12.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU MIA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 32.8%