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Citadel at VMI
Sat Jan 18, 2020
1:00pm ET
Lexington, VA
Citadel at VMI: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: VMI by 3.5, Total Points: 157
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CIT | adv | VMI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-1 | 11-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-1 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-1 | 5-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-10-0 | 6-12-0 |
Citadel Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | NC State | +21.0 | L by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Boston Col | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Presbyterian | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | North Greenville | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Idaho St | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | NC Central | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Campbell | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Charl South | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | NC A&T | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Pfeiffer | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/14 | Away | Col Charlestn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Notre Dame | +8.5 | W by 20 | +28.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Toccoa Falls | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 01/03 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Furman | +11.0 | L by 14 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Wofford | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.0 | L by 6 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | VMI | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Mercer | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Chattanooga | +10.0 | L by 28 | -18.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Furman | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | W Carolina | +11.0 | L by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | VMI | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Mercer | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Chattanooga | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | E Tenn St | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Samford | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Mercer | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
VMI Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Richmond | +17.5 | L by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Christendom | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/13 | Away | S Carolina | +22.0 | L by 10 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | South Dakota | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Arizona | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Air Force | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Clarks Summit | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Navy | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Presbyterian | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | American | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Radford | +15.5 | L by 17 | -1.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Longwood | +18.0 | L by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Penn St.-New Kensington | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Wofford | +15.5 | L by 2 | +13.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mercer | +4.5 | L by 22 | -17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Chattanooga | +16.0 | L by 48 | -32.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Samford | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Furman | +16.5 | L by 40 | -23.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Citadel | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | E Tenn St | +10.5 | L by 1 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Carolina | +21.5 | L by 25 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mercer | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Chattanooga | +15.0 | L by 4 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Samford | +19.5 | L by 39 | -19.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Furman | +23.5 | L by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Citadel | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | E Tenn St | +18.5 | L by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +23.5 | L by 42 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wofford | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | E Tenn St | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| VMI -3.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2961 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like VMI won the game 1829 times (61.8%).
- The team like The Citadel won the game 1132 times (38.2%).
- The team like VMI did better against the spread, going 1487-1429-45 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4319 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like VMI did better against the spread, going 2136-2099-84 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -- | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -- | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 12:42 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:12 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/18 11:00 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/18 10:33 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/18 07:36 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:07 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/18 12:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 09:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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