NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA LONG
Points 75.9 71.7
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 17.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 15.7
Shooting UNCA LONG
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 59.1
Field Goal % 49.2% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 68.6%
Ball Control UNCA LONG
Rebounds 30.6 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 13.9
Turnovers 12.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.3
Steals 5.2 6.6
Fouls 15.6 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA LONG
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 73.6
% of Possessions with UNCA LONG
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 19.6%
Player Fouled 25.9% 22.2%
Turnover 17.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA LONG
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 36.7%