NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE CLMB
Points 79.1 69.1
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 44.3 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 26.0
Points From Free Throws 11.6 11.3
Shooting YALE CLMB
Field Goals Made 29.9 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 15.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.3%
Ball Control YALE CLMB
Rebounds 35.6 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.2
Turnovers 8.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.3
Steals 5.8 5.4
Fouls 13.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE CLMB
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 65.4
% of Possessions with YALE CLMB
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 29.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.2%
Turnover 12.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE CLMB
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 21.3%