NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT UNT
Points 65.8 65.1
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 24.2
Points From Free Throws 16.2 13.5
Shooting LT UNT
Field Goals Made 21.7 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 56.0
Field Goal % 41.9% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 39.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 16.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 17.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.1%
Ball Control LT UNT
Rebounds 38.1 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.7
Turnovers 11.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.3
Steals 6.0 6.7
Fouls 13.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT UNT
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 66.3
% of Possessions with LT UNT
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 23.6% 19.6%
Turnover 17.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT UNT
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 27.0%