NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE MASS
Points 70.5 71.3
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 20.7
Points From Free Throws 13.8 13.7
Shooting YALE MASS
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 13.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.0
Free Throw % 69.8% 68.2%
Ball Control YALE MASS
Rebounds 34.8 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.6
Turnovers 9.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 5.5 5.7
Fouls 14.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Yale

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE MASS
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 70.1
% of Possessions with YALE MASS
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 23.6% 21.5%
Turnover 14.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE MASS
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 29.4%