NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY NIAG
Points 77.8 69.4
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 47.0 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 16.2
Shooting BRY NIAG
Field Goals Made 29.6 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 59.7
Field Goal % 50.4% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 42.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 12.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.9
Free Throw % 67.6% 74.1%
Ball Control BRY NIAG
Rebounds 36.1 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 8.6
Turnovers 10.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 1.9
Steals 6.2 5.8
Fouls 15.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY NIAG
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 72.1
% of Possessions with BRY NIAG
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 22.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 21.3%
Turnover 14.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY NIAG
Shot Blocked 3.2% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 22.2%