NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE MURR
Points 78.6 69.0
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 19.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 11.9
Shooting DRKE MURR
Field Goals Made 28.0 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 55.8
Field Goal % 50.4% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.3% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 17.2
Free Throw % 74.8% 68.9%
Ball Control DRKE MURR
Rebounds 32.7 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.4
Turnovers 9.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.3
Steals 4.8 5.0
Fouls 13.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE MURR
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 66.5
% of Possessions with DRKE MURR
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.1%
Turnover 13.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE MURR
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 22.1%