NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY FOR
Points 71.9 71.8
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 24.6
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.2
Shooting BRY FOR
Field Goals Made 24.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 67.0
Field Goal % 44.2% 35.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 39.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 24.2
Free Throw % 67.6% 67.2%
Ball Control BRY FOR
Rebounds 38.2 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 15.2
Turnovers 13.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.1
Steals 5.1 8.6
Fouls 15.4 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY FOR
Total Possessions 77.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 81.6
% of Possessions with BRY FOR
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 29.0%
Player Fouled 24.2% 19.9%
Turnover 17.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY FOR
Shot Blocked 7.7% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.3% 32.1%