NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST FAMU
Points 73.2 65.0
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 15.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 13.3
Shooting SCST FAMU
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 52.7
Field Goal % 41.3% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 17.2 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 19.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 68.1%
Ball Control SCST FAMU
Rebounds 38.8 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 8.8
Turnovers 11.7 16.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.8
Steals 8.4 5.8
Fouls 16.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST FAMU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 65.1
% of Possessions with SCST FAMU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 19.1%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.1%
Turnover 16.2% 22.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 37.8% 26.8%