NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU FAMU
Points 70.1 64.4
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 16.4
Points From Free Throws 20.2 13.6
Shooting AAMU FAMU
Field Goals Made 22.9 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 57.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 13.9 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 20.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.9 20.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.1%
Ball Control AAMU FAMU
Rebounds 37.7 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.8
Turnovers 13.1 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.7
Steals 7.6 7.2
Fouls 15.8 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU FAMU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 69.8
% of Possessions with AAMU FAMU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.3% 19.2%
Player Fouled 24.3% 21.4%
Turnover 17.9% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU FAMU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 28.5%