NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCA WEBB
Points 75.3 72.0
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 23.6
Points From Free Throws 18.2 13.6
Shooting UNCA WEBB
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 59.7
Field Goal % 45.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 18.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 22.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 61.5%
Ball Control UNCA WEBB
Rebounds 35.5 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 11.4
Turnovers 10.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.6
Steals 4.9 5.5
Fouls 14.7 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCA WEBB
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 73.2
% of Possessions with UNCA WEBB
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 25.2%
Player Fouled 25.7% 20.3%
Turnover 14.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCA WEBB
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 29.1%