NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE SIU
Points 76.2 71.4
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 23.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.0
Shooting DRKE SIU
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 53.4
Field Goal % 49.5% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 19.5
Free Throw % 74.8% 77.2%
Ball Control DRKE SIU
Rebounds 31.7 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.6
Turnovers 8.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.5
Steals 5.5 4.5
Fouls 16.0 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE SIU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 65.4
% of Possessions with DRKE SIU
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 30.6%
Player Fouled 25.6% 23.0%
Turnover 12.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE SIU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 20.9%