NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY WAG
Points 71.7 61.1
Total Points   132.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.7
Shooting BRY WAG
Field Goals Made 26.4 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 64.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 33.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 34.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 16.8
Free Throw % 67.6% 69.5%
Ball Control BRY WAG
Rebounds 41.1 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.5
Turnovers 10.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.3
Steals 3.9 5.8
Fouls 12.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY WAG
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 74.2
% of Possessions with BRY WAG
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 17.0%
Turnover 14.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY WAG
Shot Blocked 3.6% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 25.2%