NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST SCUS
Points 69.4 68.8
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 21.6
Points From Free Throws 18.6 14.8
Shooting SCST SCUS
Field Goals Made 22.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 51.1
Field Goal % 39.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 18.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 23.2
Free Throw % 70.0% 64.0%
Ball Control SCST SCUS
Rebounds 41.0 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 16.1 7.6
Turnovers 13.1 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 7.4 6.8
Fouls 18.7 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST SCUS
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 65.2
% of Possessions with SCST SCUS
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 27.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 26.2%
Turnover 18.4% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST SCUS
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 41.8% 23.3%