NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST NORF
Points 66.3 71.8
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 16.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 20.5
Shooting SCST NORF
Field Goals Made 20.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 49.6
Field Goal % 39.0% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 28.6
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.8%
Ball Control SCST NORF
Rebounds 35.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.6
Turnovers 14.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.1
Steals 6.2 7.9
Fouls 19.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST NORF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.2
% of Possessions with SCST NORF
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 20.2%
Player Fouled 23.8% 27.7%
Turnover 20.7% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST NORF
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 38.0% 30.8%