NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA ASU
Points 73.6 71.2
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 20.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.5
Shooting UGA ASU
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 61.6
Field Goal % 42.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 17.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 65.3%
Ball Control UGA ASU
Rebounds 39.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.9
Turnovers 11.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.1
Steals 5.3 7.3
Fouls 13.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA ASU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 72.3
% of Possessions with UGA ASU
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 27.7%
Player Fouled 20.8% 18.4%
Turnover 16.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA ASU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 20.4%