NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAM WOF
Points 83.4 73.3
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 28.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.1
Shooting SAM WOF
Field Goals Made 27.8 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.0
Field Goal % 48.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 19.6
Free Throw % 70.7% 61.9%
Ball Control SAM WOF
Rebounds 32.9 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.9
Turnovers 9.2 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.9
Steals 8.0 4.3
Fouls 16.2 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Samford

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAM WOF
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 70.9
% of Possessions with SAM WOF
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 32.7%
Player Fouled 24.5% 22.2%
Turnover 12.7% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAM WOF
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 32.5%