NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU CLEM
Points 56.5 83.6
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 11.1 25.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 21.9
Shooting AAMU CLEM
Field Goals Made 18.5 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 55.2
Field Goal % 33.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 36.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.7 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 28.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 77.8%
Ball Control AAMU CLEM
Rebounds 30.8 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.3
Turnovers 12.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.8
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 18.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU CLEM
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 72.6
% of Possessions with AAMU CLEM
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 25.9%
Turnover 17.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU CLEM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 32.0%