NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU GRAM
Points 63.2 67.1
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 10.7 15.8
Points From Free Throws 17.6 18.9
Shooting AAMU GRAM
Field Goals Made 21.0 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 52.3
Field Goal % 40.0% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 26.8
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.7%
Ball Control AAMU GRAM
Rebounds 36.2 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.7
Turnovers 14.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 6.6 8.7
Fouls 16.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU GRAM
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 69.0
% of Possessions with AAMU GRAM
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 17.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.7%
Turnover 20.0% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU GRAM
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 30.1%