NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA TENN
Points 64.9 81.3
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.5 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 28.1
Points From Free Throws 15.1 14.2
Shooting UGA TENN
Field Goals Made 20.9 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 64.6
Field Goal % 36.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 12.7 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 18.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.4%
Ball Control UGA TENN
Rebounds 34.6 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.2
Turnovers 11.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.1
Steals 5.3 7.1
Fouls 14.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA TENN
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 76.6
% of Possessions with UGA TENN
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 31.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.2%
Turnover 16.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA TENN
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 31.9%