NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UGA UK
Points 76.7 89.4
Total Points   166.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 29.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.5
Shooting UGA UK
Field Goals Made 25.5 33.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 66.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 17.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 78.2%
Ball Control UGA UK
Rebounds 35.4 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 6.6
Steals 5.6 6.7
Fouls 13.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UGA UK
Total Possessions 77.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 76.5
% of Possessions with UGA UK
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 27.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 17.5%
Turnover 13.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UGA UK
Shot Blocked 10.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 25.7%