NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT VILL
Points 70.4 72.7
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 27.9
Points From Free Throws 10.4 9.5
Shooting BUT VILL
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 61.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 10.4 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 11.9
Free Throw % 80.1% 79.7%
Ball Control BUT VILL
Rebounds 34.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 7.2
Turnovers 9.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 5.0 6.2
Fouls 11.1 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT VILL
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 67.9
% of Possessions with BUT VILL
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.4% 35.9%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.0%
Turnover 13.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT VILL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 20.7%