NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT NCST
Points 66.0 71.7
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 20.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.9
Shooting LT NCST
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 58.4
Field Goal % 39.7% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 21.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.6%
Ball Control LT NCST
Rebounds 39.1 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.2
Turnovers 11.7 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.1
Steals 4.6 7.1
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT NCST
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 71.1
% of Possessions with LT NCST
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.6%
Turnover 16.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT NCST
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 24.9%