NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF TULN
Points 80.9 74.3
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 19.9
Points From Free Throws 17.0 18.4
Shooting USF TULN
Field Goals Made 26.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 55.0
Field Goal % 43.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 25.7
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.6%
Ball Control USF TULN
Rebounds 38.3 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 6.2
Turnovers 9.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 6.1 5.9
Fouls 17.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF TULN
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 69.9
% of Possessions with USF TULN
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 23.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 23.5%
Turnover 13.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF TULN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 18.0%