NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUFF TOWS
Points 59.5 73.6
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 20.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 13.6
Shooting BUFF TOWS
Field Goals Made 21.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 63.2
Field Goal % 38.8% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 10.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 20.5
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.3%
Ball Control BUFF TOWS
Rebounds 30.0 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 17.9
Turnovers 11.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 5.2 6.5
Fouls 12.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUFF TOWS
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 76.4
% of Possessions with BUFF TOWS
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 22.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.3%
Turnover 17.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUFF TOWS
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 44.5%