NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN UCLA
Points 68.9 69.1
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.5
Shooting STAN UCLA
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 58.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 74.3%
Ball Control STAN UCLA
Rebounds 33.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.4
Turnovers 12.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 4.1 6.0
Fouls 14.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN UCLA
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 69.4
% of Possessions with STAN UCLA
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 23.8%
Player Fouled 24.1% 20.8%
Turnover 17.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN UCLA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 26.1%