NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN UTAH
Points 76.2 82.5
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 33.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 9.0
Shooting STAN UTAH
Field Goals Made 28.1 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 65.3
Field Goal % 44.6% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 11.1 9.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 14.3
Free Throw % 73.9% 63.4%
Ball Control STAN UTAH
Rebounds 35.4 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.7
Turnovers 10.4 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.1
Steals 5.0 5.9
Fouls 13.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN UTAH
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 73.9
% of Possessions with STAN UTAH
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 33.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.6%
Turnover 13.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN UTAH
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 23.5%