NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW NWST
Points 71.8 74.8
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 19.5
Points From Free Throws 18.6 17.1
Shooting IW NWST
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 59.2
Field Goal % 42.7% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 18.6 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 26.3
Free Throw % 71.7% 64.9%
Ball Control IW NWST
Rebounds 39.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.1
Turnovers 14.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.4
Steals 5.3 7.4
Fouls 17.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW NWST
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 74.9
% of Possessions with IW NWST
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 21.9%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.2%
Turnover 19.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW NWST
Shot Blocked 5.8% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 28.7%