NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM NWST
Points 77.0 68.1
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.2
Shooting LAM NWST
Field Goals Made 26.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.6
Field Goal % 45.3% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 23.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 64.9%
Ball Control LAM NWST
Rebounds 39.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 12.3
Turnovers 11.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.4
Steals 6.3 5.9
Fouls 16.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM NWST
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 72.2
% of Possessions with LAM NWST
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.0%
Turnover 15.9% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM NWST
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 31.7%