NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM TULN
Points 74.9 80.3
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 23.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 20.9
Shooting LAM TULN
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 54.5
Field Goal % 40.5% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 29.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.6%
Ball Control LAM TULN
Rebounds 39.4 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 6.9
Turnovers 11.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.2
Steals 5.8 6.7
Fouls 18.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM TULN
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.4 71.5
% of Possessions with LAM TULN
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.0% 24.6%
Turnover 14.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM TULN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 20.6%