NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM TCU
Points 66.1 84.1
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 22.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 18.7
Shooting LAM TCU
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 25.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 72.7%
Ball Control LAM TCU
Rebounds 30.3 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 14.9
Turnovers 13.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 5.6 8.1
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM TCU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 77.0
% of Possessions with LAM TCU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 22.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.2%
Turnover 18.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM TCU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 41.9%