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Louisville at Miami
Tue Nov 5, 2019
6:30pm ET
Coral Gables, FL
Louisville at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 6.5, Total Points: 144.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-1 | 14-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 7-12-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 5-12-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 6-8-1 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| LOU -6.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 923 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 680 times (73.7%).
- The team like Miami-Florida won the game 243 times (26.3%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 468-441-14 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3588 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami-Florida did better against the spread, going 1761-1756-71 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/05 06:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/05 06:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 06:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/05 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/05 05:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 04:19 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/05 03:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 12:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:26 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 10:19 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:45 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/05 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/05 09:41 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:16 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/05 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/05 08:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/05 02:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/05 01:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 09:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/04 08:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/04 06:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/04 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/04 06:42 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/04 06:22 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/04 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/04 05:09 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 03:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/04 03:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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