NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW AMCC
Points 65.6 76.7
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 17.7
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.6
Shooting IW AMCC
Field Goals Made 20.8 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 60.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 27.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.6%
Ball Control IW AMCC
Rebounds 35.6 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.3
Turnovers 15.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.4
Steals 5.0 9.5
Fouls 17.3 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW AMCC
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 77.2
% of Possessions with IW AMCC
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 19.7%
Player Fouled 25.6% 23.3%
Turnover 21.5% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 12.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW AMCC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 31.2%