NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW SFA
Points 64.6 80.3
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 17.8 21.8
Shooting IW SFA
Field Goals Made 20.0 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 49.0 56.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 21.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 31.0
Free Throw % 71.7% 70.3%
Ball Control IW SFA
Rebounds 33.0 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.9
Turnovers 19.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 5.7 9.8
Fouls 20.3 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW SFA
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 75.1
% of Possessions with IW SFA
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 21.1%
Player Fouled 24.4% 27.1%
Turnover 25.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW SFA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 33.4%