NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IW UTSA
Points 73.4 85.9
Total Points   159.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 30.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 20.4
Shooting IW UTSA
Field Goals Made 24.8 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 62.8
Field Goal % 40.0% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 28.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.1%
Ball Control IW UTSA
Rebounds 37.4 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.3
Turnovers 11.1 8.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.2
Steals 4.4 5.7
Fouls 17.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IW UTSA
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 79.6
% of Possessions with IW UTSA
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 22.8%
Turnover 14.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IW UTSA
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 31.1%