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Ball St at Toledo
Sat Feb 29, 2020
2:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Ball St at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 3, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-13-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-7-0 | 8-9-0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Goshen | -- | W by 61 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Oakland City | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 24 | -25.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | SC Upstate | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +2.0 | L by 26 | -24.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bellarmine | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Detroit | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | SIU Edward | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Indiana St | +15.5 | L by 11 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Kent St | +11.0 | L by 13 | -2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Central Mich | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Akron | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Toledo | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | E Michigan | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | -4.0 | L by 7 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 28 | +26.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Illinois | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Michigan | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Ohio | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | L by 21 | -18.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | N Illinois | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Michigan | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Central Mich | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | W Michigan | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kent St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -3.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3214 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1901 times (59.1%).
- The team like Ball St. won the game 1313 times (40.9%).
- The team like Ball St. did better against the spread, going 1570-1566-78 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4973 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 2455-2418-100 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/29 01:54 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:39 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:56 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/29 08:18 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:33 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/28 07:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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